NASCAR Odds Predict A Toyota Driver Wins This Weekend’s Toyota Owners 400

Posted on April 16, 2021

Thirty-eight drivers take to the track this weekend at the Richmond Raceway in Virginia. The highly anticipated Toyota Owners 400 is the final short track event in a trio of NASCAR Cup Series races.

Tennessee sportsbooks predict we’ll see at least one Toyota car take the podium on Sunday.

Sportsbooks look to Martin Truex Jr. for the win

Out of the last 10 Toyota Owners 400 wins, seven of them have been won in Toyota cars. Defending race champ Martin Truex Jr. and his No. 19 Toyota could add another win to that list.

Truex secured back-to-back Richmond wins in 2019 and has found the podium during each of his past four visits to the track.

After his victory last weekend at Martinsville Speedway, he became the first two-time Cup winner of 2021. A win at Richmond this weekend would mark his third victory in nine races this season.

Tennessee sportsbooks position Truex as the favorite, leading the pack at +400 odds.

Fellow Toyota driver Denny Hamlin trails behind at +600. As for third place odds, sportsbooks are torn between Brad Keselowski, Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott.

DraftKings currently favors Larson for bronze.

DriverWinnerTop 3Top 10
Martin Truex Jr.+400+110-420
Denny Hamlin+600+170-286
Kyle Larson+700+185-250
Brad Keselowski+750+215-230
Chase Elliott+850+240-210
Joey Logano+850+240-210
Kyle Busch+900+260-200
Kevin Harvick+1100+300-175
Ryan Blaney+1600+450-139
Christopher Bell+2000+550-118
William Byron+2000+750+110
Alex Bowman+3300+850+125
Kurt Busch+3500+900+130
Austin Dillon+4000+1000+140
Tyler Reddick+6600+1600+210

Steep competition at Toyota Owners 400

Cup competition is fierce this year, featuring an entire lineup of potential victory lane candidates. Truex will have to hold off a number of strong contenders if he wants a chance at the win.

Denny Hamlin leads the pack in total points for the season. He’s logged top-five finishes in seven out of his last eight races, and four of those were third-place finishes. Hamlin finished in the top three during three out of the last four NASCAR Cup Series races. A win at Richmond would be a fourth career win for the driver and his No. 11 Toyota.

Kyle Larson (+700) won the Richmond fall race back in 2017. In his last seven appearances at the track, five of those have been seventh position finishes or better. This year, he has already taken home the gold at Las Vegas Motor Speedway and finished second at Atlanta Motor Speedway. Of his eight total races this season, four of them have been top-five finishes.

Kyle Busch (+900) is another strong opponent. Out of his 30 career starts at Richmond, more than half of those have resulted in a finish inside the top five. Moreover, Busch has taken home the gold at Richmond six times.

Kevin Harvick has finished in the top five in each of his last five Toyota Owners 400 races and sits at -175 to finish in the top 10 this weekend.

If you’re confident in a different driver for this race, William Hill is offering two odds boosts. Bettors can get odds on Christopher Bell to win the race at +3300 and odds for Chase Elliott winning at +750.

NASCAR betting markets

Along with betting on an outright winner, you can wager on a handful of different markets for the race.

Race matchups pit two drivers against each other. You can wager on which one you think will have the better finishing position of the two. This weekend, for example, you can wager on the finishing position between Joey Logano and Chase Elliott at DraftKings.

  • Logano: -118
  • Elliott: -112

If a one-on-one matchup isn’t for you, then best finish in a group might be the market to wager on. In this market, and handful of drivers are paired together, and you bet on who you think will finish at the top of the pack. Odds for Group A at DraftKings are as follows:

  • Martin Truex Jr.: +195
  • Denny Hamlin: +230
  • Brad Keselowski: +285
  • Chase Elliott: +325

You can also bet on the stage winner. Martin Truex Jr. is the favorite to finish first in both Stage 1 and Stage 2 of the Toyota Owners 400.

Finally, you can put some money down on the grid position of the winner. Currently, over 5.5 is sitting at -139 and under 5.5 sits at +105 at DraftKings.

NASCAR futures betting odds

The Toyota Owners 400 isn’t the only NASCAR race to take place near Tennessee this season.

Bristol Motor Speedway hosted the NASCAR Cup back in late March. This particular event was one for the history books, as drivers traversed a dirt track for the first time in a Cup race since 1970.

Twenty-seven-time Cup winner Joey Logano placed first, while Ricky Stenhouse Jr. logged a runner-up podium finish, and Denny Hamlin came in third.

The concept was met with such intense support that the speedway sold out of its limited capacity grandstand tickets weeks before the race. Bristol dirt track racing returns to the Cup schedule again in spring of 2022.

Before that happens, though, drivers will have to wrap up this season of races.

Futures betting options for the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series Championship on Nov. 6 are already available on DraftKings and TwinSpires.

Chase Elliott takes the lead with +550 odds, while Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr. follow behind at +650.

But those odds may soon shift, depending on the outcome of this weekend’s race.

Photo by Associated Press
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Alec Cunningham

As a college athlete, Alec Cunningham played Division II golf at Tusculum University. She graduated in 2015 with a bachelor’s degree in Journalism and Professional Writing. She then returned to her love of written word in 2000 after working in the music industry as a concert promoter, tour manager and artist developer. As a journalist, she's covered a variety of topics and currently specializes in Tennessee online sports betting and Virginia casino news. She served as a panelist at this year's All American Sports Betting Summit, discussing the ever-evolving role of women in the gambling industry.

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